Forecasting RMB Exchange Rate Based on a Nonlinear Combination Model of ARFIMA, SVM, and BPNN
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
mortality forecasting based on lee-carter model
over the past decades a number of approaches have been applied for forecasting mortality. in 1992, a new method for long-run forecast of the level and age pattern of mortality was published by lee and carter. this method was welcomed by many authors so it was extended through a wider class of generalized, parametric and nonlinear model. this model represents one of the most influential recent d...
15 صفحه اولA Hybrid Forecast of Exchange Rate based on ARFIMA,Discrete Grey-Markov, and Fractal Kalman Model
We propose a hybrid forecast based on extended discrete grey Markov and variable dimension Kalman model and show that our hybrid model can improve much more the performance of forecast than traditional grey Markov and Kalman models. Our simulation results are given to demonstrate that our hybrid forecast method combined with degree of grey incidence are better than grey Markov and ARFIMA model ...
متن کاملA hybrid computational intelligence model for foreign exchange rate forecasting
Computational intelligence approaches have gradually established themselves as a popular tool for forecasting the complicated financial markets. Forecasting accuracy is one of the most important features of forecasting models; hence, never has research directed at improving upon the effectiveness of time series models stopped. Nowadays, despite the numerous time series forecasting models propos...
متن کاملHybrid Forecasting of Exchange Rate by Using Chaos Wavelet SVM-Markov Model and Grey Relation Degree
This paper proposes an exchange rate forecasting method by using the grey relative combination approach of chaos wavelet SVM-Markov model. The problem of short-term forecast of exchange rate by using the comprehensive method of the phase space reconstitution and SVM method has been researched We have suggested a wavelet-SVR-Markov forecasting model to predict the finance time series and demonst...
متن کاملModelling Co-movement between Onshore and Offshore RMB Exchange Rate Based on Copula
This paper investigates the dependence of the exchange rate of Onshore RMB and Offshore RMB against U.S. dollar, i.e. CNY and CNH, based on copula models. We select ten different copulas to construct multivariate distribution for RMB exchange rate. The empirical results show that time-invariant Student-t copula is the best model to fit the sample data. The positive of upper and lower dependence...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Mathematical Problems in Engineering
سال: 2015
ISSN: 1024-123X,1563-5147
DOI: 10.1155/2015/635345